2022 British Open odds picks: Rory McIlroy enters as favorite to win historic 150th St Andrews Open

ST. ANDREWS, Scotland — After three straight top-10 finishes to start the 2022 major championship, Rory McIlroy is the easy favorite for a 150th Open on the course that perhaps suits him better than any other. Interestingly, McIlroy has never finished in the top 10 at all four majors in a season — something he probably doesn’t care much about unless that stat includes a win — but it remains an attainable mark this week at the Old Course in St. Louis. Andrews.

McIlroy missed The Open the last time it was held at St Andrews in 2015 due to a football injury. He almost certainly would have gone in as the favorite this year as well, having won two of the previous four majors. In 2010 he infamously started with a 63 but shot an 80 in Round 2 only to finish T3 behind Louis Oosthuizen and Lee Westwood.

“About me, [this Open Championship] I feel more consistent because I played really well the first three majors,” McIlroy told CBS Sports this week. “I got off to a great start at Southern Hills, I just couldn’t get going. I had a decent chance at the US Open as well. I finished second at Augusta [National], but I felt like I never had a chance this week. I had three really strong finishes in the majors without going over the limit. I think for me that’s why I feel more consistent. I’m going in knowing that I’m playing good golf, so this is another really good chance for me to break this drought that I’ve been in for a while.

“I also missed the last Open at St Andrews because I was injured. I never got a chance to defend my title from the previous year. I never got a chance to go to the Champions Dinner. I never got a chance to make that championship challenge — the four-hole challenge — on Monday. I really missed not being there in 2015 and had to wait seven years since then to go back. Personally, this is more meaningful to me. “

Let’s take a look at the full Open odds table via Caesars Sportsbook.

2022 Open Championship Odds

Favorites

  • Rory McIlroy: 9-1
  • Xander Schaufele: 14-1
  • John Rahm: 14-1
  • Scotty Scheffler: 16-1
  • Jordan Spieth: 16-1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick: 18-1
  • Justin Thomas: 18-1

Does McIlroy deserve to be such a big favorite? Probably. He and Schaufele are clear of the rest of the field when it comes to strokes gained over their last 20 rounds, and only Will Zalatoris was better total for the 2022 majors, however, McIlroy does not represent the greatest value. It will either be Scheffler (all four of his wins so far this year) or Spieth (who absolutely destroys the Open Championships). Beginning 2015 with his T4 at St. Andrews, Spieth is on a streak that includes six straight top 30s, four of them top 10s. After flirting with the top spot at the Scottish Open last week, it would be stunning if at least not competing this week.

Contenders

  • Shane Lowry: 22-1
  • Colin Morikawa: 25-1
  • Will Zalatoris: 25-1
  • Patrick Cantlay: 25-1
  • Cam Smith: 25-1
  • Dustin Johnson: 35-1
  • Tyrell Hatton: 35-1
  • Brooks Koepka: 35-1
  • Tommy Fleetwood: 35-1

Those numbers fall well short of Morikawa (last year’s champion), Zalatoris (this year’s overall major leader), Johnson (a two-time major winner who has occasionally destroyed here), and Koepka (a four-time major winner who has finished T6 or better in three of his last four starts).

Traverses

  • Louis Oosthuizen: 40-1
  • Victor Hovland: 40-1
  • Hideki Matsuyama: 40-1
  • Sam Burns: 40-1
  • Joaquin Niemann: 45-1
  • Max Homa: 50-1
  • Justin Rose: 50-1
  • Tony Finau: 50-1
  • Tiger Woods: 60-1
  • Bryson DeChambeau: 65-1
  • Ryan Fox: 65-1
  • Sungjae Im: 65-1

The names that intrigue with those numbers are Burns, a top-10 player in the world playing in just his second Open, and Homa, who has made the cut at four straight majors and was competing last week at the Scottish Open. Tiger is either too short or too long, and oddsmakers clearly have no idea what to make of Bryson DeChambeau, who has the length to bring this spot to its knees but may not have the touch to contend at the Open. (His best finish is a T33, and he has just two top 10s in majors.)

Everyone else

  • Corey Connors: 80-1
  • Cameron Young: 80-1
  • Robert McIntyre: 80-1
  • Sheamus Strength: 80-1
  • Gary Woodland: 80-1
  • Adam Scott: 80-1
  • Marc Leishman: 80-1
  • Billy Horschel: 90-1
  • Patrick Reed: 90-1
  • Abraham Unser: 90-1
  • Sergio Garcia: 100-1
  • Pereira Mito: 100-1
  • Paul Casey: 100-1
  • JT Poston: 100-1
  • Thomas Peters: 100-1
  • Lucas Herbert: 100-1
  • Christian Bezuidenhout: 100-1
  • Webb Simpson: 100-1
  • Cameron Tringale: 100-1
  • Keegan Bradley: 100-1
  • Harold Varner III: 100-1
  • Victor Perez: 100-1

Any of these players can win, but the one with the highest firepower-to-chance ratio is Thomas Peters. He hasn’t been amazing at Opens, but he’s been playing solid golf this year and can hit the ball as fast as anyone. Pereira and Bradley have also been playing great major championship golf over the past few months and are good picks at these numbers.

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