Back the underdog Twins vs. Padres in San Diego, plus other top Friday bets

Happy Friday sports fans, the weekend is here and it’s a beautiful thing.

Pretty soon we’ll have both the NFL and college football dominating the weekend in addition to baseball’s playoff contests. There’s nothing better than spending the entire weekend sitting on the couch watching endless amounts of football and baseball. We are less than a month away from the start of the 2022 college football season, so it will soon be a reality.

For now we only have baseball to make some money. Let’s go straight to the selection!

All Eastern times and all odds via Caesars Sports Exchange


🔥 The hot ticket

Twins at Padres, 9:40 p.m. | Television: MLB.TV

  • A key trend: Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • The Pick: Gemini (+100)

The Twins and Padres are two very evenly matched teams that go downhill in the second half. However, baseball is a game that is all about matchups and Minnesota clearly has the edge in that section tonight.

Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan had a sensational rookie season, posting just a 2.05 ERA in his four starts in the month of July. In addition, the Twins have won 10 of his last 15 starts and Ryan hasn’t lost since June 14 against the Mariners. Meanwhile, Padres starter Blake Snell hasn’t exactly been the star pitcher the franchise expected him to be when he was acquired before the 2021 season.

Despite allowing one run or fewer in three of his last four starts, the left-hander has struggled in the friendly confines of Petco Park. Snell has a 1-3 record along with a 4.67 ERA in five home starts this season. Additionally, the Padres bullpen has a 3.91 ERA and also has 16 blown saves. The Twins offense is one of the most disciplined teams in baseball as they rank seventh in batting average (.252), ninth in home runs (132), 10th in hits (837) and 10th in RBIs (433). With all that in mind, I’m confident going with the underdog Twins at plus money.


💰 The choice

SATISFACTION

⚾ MLB

Cardinals at Nationals, 7:10 p.m. | Television: MLB.TV

Latest Odds:

St. Louis Cardinals -165

The Pick: Cardinals (-170): After a short two-game set in Toronto, the Cardinals are back at full strength with star players Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt in the lineup. Combine that with the fact that the Cardinals are facing starter Anibal Sanchez and this should be an easy win.

Sanchez, 38, was recalled earlier this month after signing a minor league deal at the end of the season. He surrendered seven earned runs (6.30 ERA) in 10 innings in starts against the Braves and Diamondbacks and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs on six hits in five innings in a 5-2 loss to the Diamondbacks. With the Cardinals having one of the best offenses in baseball, I expect Sanchez’s struggles to continue.

As if the Cardinals’ offense wasn’t enough of a reason to side with the favorite, they also send veteran righty Myles Mikolas to the mound, who has been terrific in 2022. Mikolas has a 2.87 ERA on the year and has really been an inning eater for the St. Lewis. In his last 10 starts, Mikolas has given up two runs or fewer in seven of those outings. There’s just too much going in the Cardinals’ favor in this one, so you can feel good betting a few units on the favorite.

A key trend: The Nationals are 16-47 in their last 63 games against a team with a winning record

Rangers at Angels, 21:38 | Television: MLB.TV
The Pick: Martin Perez Over 5.0 Shots (-115) —
This one feels like a slam dunk. The Angels are 15 games under .500 and lead the hitters (960) on the season.

Perez is fresh off his first career All-Star appearance. The lefty compiled an 8-2 record to go along with a 2.59 ERA (ninth lowest in MLB). Perez has recorded at least six strikeouts in four of his last seven starts. In six of his last seven starts, Perez has thrown at least six innings, so he should easily be around long enough to reach the six-hit mark.

A key trend: Perez has recorded at least six strikeouts in four of his last seven starts

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