Ball State vs Toledo Odds, Line, Spread: 2022 College Football MACtion Predictions from Proven Model

The MAC West title could be on the line when the Ball State Cardinals battle the Toledo Rockets in a key MACtion matchup on Tuesday night. The Cardinals (5-4, 3-2), who are just one game behind the Rockets (6-3, 4-1) in the division, are coming off a 27-20 win at Kent State on Nov. 1. State rallied from a 13-0 deficit to hand the Golden Flashes their first home loss since 2019, snapping a 12-game winning streak at home. Toledo, which has won four of five, is coming off a 27-24 win at Eastern Michigan.

Kickoff at The Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio is set for 8:00 PM ET. Toledo leads the all-time series 25-21-1, including a 14-8-1 advantage in games played in Toledo. The Rockets are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Ball State vs. Toledo odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51.5. Before concluding any Toledo vs. Ball State picks or MACtion predictions, you should see what SportsLine’s projection model has to say.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering profit of nearly $3,000 per $100 player on the highest rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed him has seen tremendous returns.

The model has now set its sights on Toledo vs. Ball State and has locked in its MACtion picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are the college football betting odds and lines for Ball State vs. Toledo:

  • Ball State vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -11.5
  • Ball State vs. Toledo Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • Ball State vs. Toledo money line: Ball State +335, Toledo -450
  • BSU: Cardinals are 10-4 by margin in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record at home
  • TOL: Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games
  • Ball State vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured game | Toledo Rockets vs. Ball State Cardinals

Why Toledo can cover

Redshirt freshman quarterback Tucker Gleason threw for 238 yards and three touchdowns last week in a win over Eastern Michigan. The win made the Rockets bowl eligible for the 13th straight season. Gleason filled in nicely for sophomore quarterback Dequan Finn, who missed the game with an injury and is expected to be out again this week. On the season, Gleason has completed 21 of 40 passes (52.5%) for 305 yards and four touchdowns. He has not thrown an interception.

Sophomore running back Jacques Stewart leads the Rockets in rushing, carrying 86 times for 521 yards (6.1 avg.) and three touchdowns, including a season-long 48-yard run. He has rushed for 100 or more yards in two games this season, including a 16-carry, 122-yard, one-touchdown performance against Central Michigan on Oct. 1. He also rushed 14 times for 107 yards in a 34-27 loss at Buffalo on Oct. 22. In 13 games last season, he rushed for 256 yards and averaged 5.4 yards per carry. He also returned a kickoff 97 yards for a score.

Why Ball State Can Cover

However, the Rockets are not a lock to cover Ball State’s spread against Toledo. That’s because the Cardinals are led by junior quarterback John Paddock, who has completed 226 of 366 passes (61.7%) for 2,239 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has been picked 10 times and has a rating of 122.1. Paddock’s best game was a 40-of-58 (69%) passing performance for 403 yards and three touchdowns and two interceptions in a 44-38 double overtime win over Northern Illinois on Oct. 1.

Also powering the Cardinals offense is sophomore Carson Steele, who carried 221 times for 1,082 yards (4.9 avg.) and nine TDs. He has also caught 20 passes for 133 yards (6.7 avg.) and one touchdown. Steele was a big reason for Ball State’s upset at Kent State last Tuesday when he carried 29 times for a season-high 192 yards (6.6 avg.) and one score. He has topped 100 yards rushing in seven games, including each of the last four.

How to make Ball State vs. Toledo picks

SportsLine’s model leans on the total, projecting 58 combined points. He also says that one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can get the model selection only at SportsLine.

So who wins Toledo vs. Ball State? And which side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to return, all of the advanced model who crushed their college football picks, and find out.

Leave a Comment