Bears at Patriots Odds, Picks: Point Spread, Totals, Player Details, Trends, Week 7 ‘MNF’ Streaming

Week 7 of the 2022 NFL regular season concludes with an interconference matchup as the New England Patriots host the Chicago Bears. Bill Belichick’s team finds itself on a two-game winning streak as rookie quarterback Bailey Zappé has been one of the biggest surprises of the NFL season so far. Still, at 3-3, New England is at the bottom of the division. As for the Bears, they’ve lost three in a row, but had extra time to prepare for this game after playing Thursday Night Football in Week 6.

While Zappe has steadied the ship for the past few weeks, Mac Jones is poised to return to the starting lineup for the first time since September 25, despite being listed as questionable by multiple reports. It’s a good thing because he’s probably tired of hearing about a potential quarterback controversy in New England. Although, if it falls home under the bright lights of prime time, that narrative certainly won’t go away.

The Bears have lost nine straight in prime time. Justin Fields and the offense look rough right now, but could this be a potential bounce-back spot? Below, we’ll break down this matchup from a gambling perspective and look at line movement, Over/Under and player props to consider. First, here’s how you can watch Monday’s game.

All NFL odds are through the Caesars Sports Exchange.

How to watch

Date: Monday, October 24 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click here)
I follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Patriots -7.5, O/U 40

Injury report

  • bears: NONE
  • Patriots: WR Nelson Agholor (hamstring), DL Christian Barmore (knee), WR Kendrick Bourne (toe), DL Lawrence Guy (shoulder), CB Anfernee Jennings (calf), CB Jonathan Jones (ankle), QB Mac Jones ( ankle), CB Jalen Mills (illness), OG Mike Onwenu (ankle), LB Josh Uche (hamstring), CB Shaun Wade (illness), OT Isaiah Wynn (shoulder) QUESTIONABLE

Line movement

Latest Odds:

New England Patriots -8.5

This line opened at NE -6 on Monday, May 16. We didn’t see any movement until Friday October 14th when it hit NE -6.5. It rose another half point to NE -7 on October 15 and then to NE -7.5 on October 16, where it remained.

The pick: Patriots -7.5. I went back and forth on this one, but I picked Patriots -7.5 in my pick column, so I’m sticking with it. The Patriots are the only team in the NFL to win by more than 20 points in Weeks 5 and 6, though I don’t expect Jones to go nuclear against this Chicago defense. But I’m overly intrigued by rookie Tyquan Thornton, I think Rhamondre Stevenson is an underrated running back, and I like New England’s defense. The Patriots are outscoring the Bears by more than seven points – especially at home.

Over/Under 40

Latest Odds:

Under 40

The total opened at 38.5 on Tuesday, October 11. It rose to 39 on October 12 and then fell back to 38.5 on October 14. After rising again to 39, it began to increase in a consistent manner, reaching 39.5 on October 16, 40 on October 21, and then 40.5 on Sunday morning. However, it dropped back down to 40 on Sunday afternoon.

Selection: Under 40. That number is so low, but I’m still leaning towards Under. With Jones back in the starting lineup and possibly not 100 percent healthy, I don’t think he’ll step in and create an offensive explosion against a team that allows less than 20 points per game. The Patriots are 3-3 against the Over, while the Bears are 2-4. New England averages 23.5 points per game while Chicago averages 15.5 points per game. I expect something like a 24-13 final score. The slope is towards Pod.

Props to Justin Fields


Touchdown Passes: 0.5 (Over -179, Under +129)
Passing Yards: 160.5 (Over -117, Under -117)
Pass attempt: 24.5 (Over -115, Under -119)
Passing completions: OFF
Longest pass: 32.5 (Over -117, Under -117)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -179, Under +129)
Rushing Yards: 42.5 (Over -117, Under -117)

The juice on Fields’ touchdown pass is so gross I won’t touch it. I don’t see the value in this, but he has thrown a touchdown in each of the last two games, if you’re curious. As for passing yards, I’ll take the Over. Fields has gone 161 passing yards in each of the last three contests. I lean Under on Fields’ longest pass completion and lean Over on his rushing yards.

Mack Jones prop


Touchdown Passes: 1.5 (Over +104, Under -142)
Passing Yards: 214.5 (Over -111, Under -123)
Pass attempt: 28.5 (Over -119, Under -115)
Passing completions: 18.5 (Over -121, Under -113)
Longest pass: 34.5 (Over -121, Under -113)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Over -106, Under -129)

To be honest with you, I might make a play on the same play where I bet both quarterbacks to throw an interception and maybe throw a money line on the Patriots. As for Jones’ remaining props, it’s hard to gauge because he likely isn’t 100 percent healthy. I’ll take the Under in touchdowns, but the Over in yards. I’ll leave the trials and tribulations alone. Jones has hit the over at both of those values ​​in all three games he’s played, but you have to remember that he’s been in games that were either close or where he had to throw. What happens if the Patriots get out to an early lead? Again, I love this interception number. Jones has thrown at least one pick in every contest this season.

Player prop

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards: Over 62.5 (-106). Stephenson has surpassed that number in each of the last four games, and as I mentioned earlier, is one of the most underrated running backs in the league. If the Patriots win this game relatively easily, then that also adds to my case.

Jonu Smith receiving yards: Over 10.5 (-123). That line just seems too low to me. In every game this season in which Smith has caught a pass, he has managed 25 yards. Last week against the Cleveland Browns, he caught two passes for 61 yards.

Darnell Mooney receiving yards: Over 44.5 (-119). Fields has been passing the ball more the past few weeks and his No. 1 target has taken advantage of that. Mooney has recorded at least 52 receiving yards in each of the last three games.

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