Bills vs. Packers odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, NFL model predictions on roll 148-107

The full Week 8 of Sunday’s NFL slate concludes with a high-profile primetime game. The Buffalo Bills will host the Green Bay Packers in a battle of teams with big-name quarterbacks on Sunday Night Football. Josh Allen leads a Bills team to a 5-1 record and 2-0 at home this season. Aaron Rodgers is the key to a Packers team that is struggling after three straight losses and a 3-4 overall record in 2022. The Bills are 4-1-1 against the spread, while the Packers are 2-5.

Kickoff is at 8:20 PM ET in Buffalo. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bills as a 10.5-point home favorite, while the over/under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47 in the latest Bills vs. Packers odds. Before making a Packers vs. Bills pick, you should see the NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The model, which simulates each NFL play 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 per $100 punter in the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception. The pattern enters Week 8 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 148-107 record in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 four of the past six years for straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

Now, the model has zeroed in on the Packers vs. Bills and has just locked up its NFL Week 8 picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are some NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Bills:

  • Bills vs. Packers spread: Bills -10.5
  • Bills vs. Packers Over/Under: 47 points
  • Bills vs. Packers money line: Bills -550, Packers +400
  • GB: The Packers are 2-5 against the spread this season
  • BUF: The Bills are 4-1-1 against the spread this season
  • Bills vs. Packers picks: See the picks here

Featured game | Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

Why the Packers can cover

The Packers lead the NFL in pass defense, allowing just 168.9 yards per game. Green Bay is also in the top five in allowing just six passing touchdowns, and opponents are averaging just 5.9 net yards per pass attempt. The Packers are also among the top eight in total defense, giving up less than 310 yards per game and 29.4 yards per drive. Green Bay has a sparkling 30% third-down conversion rate allowed, and the Packers have the second-highest rushing percentage in the NFL at 39%.

In the red zone, Green Bay is getting better, holding opponents out of the end zone on 55.6 percent of trips inside the 20-yard line, and the Packers are in the top 5 in first downs allowed. Rashan Gary gives the Packers a strong pass rusher outside the boundary, generating six sacks, seven tackles for loss and ten quarterback hits, and he anchors a very strong defensive attack. See which team to back here.

Why bills can cover

Buffalo is arguably the most complete and dominant team in the NFL. The Bills have a plus-95 point differential in a league-leading six games and have won seven games since the bye. The Bills lead the NFL in total offense this season, averaging 440.8 yards per game and averaging 41.9 yards per drive. Buffalo is No. 2 in scoring offense, averaging 29.3 points per game, with an average of 2.65 points per shot. Buffalo leads the NFL in third-down efficiency at 52%, with the top two marks in passing offense and first downs.

The Bills are also in the top five in touchdown passes, interceptions and net yards per attempt, with a top-10 mark in the league in yards per carry (4.8) on the ground. With Buffalo also leading the league in scoring defense (13.5 points allowed per game) and total defense (281.5 yards allowed per game), the Bills are tough to beat even before taking home field advantage into account field and an extra week off against a struggling opponent. See which team to back here.

How to make a Bills vs. Packers

The SportsLine model leans under the total, not expected to reach 55 yards on the ground. The model also says that one side of the distribution occurs in over 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s SNF selection in SportsLine.

So who wins Packers vs. Bills on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hit in over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread Packers vs. The Bills need to jump on Sunday, all of the 148-107 toss pattern in the NFL picks, and find out.

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