Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Spread, Line: 2022 NBA Picks October 25 Best Bets From Proven Model

Intriguing Western Conference foes square off in a spotlight matchup on Tuesday night. The New Orleans Pelicans (2-1) host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (1-1) in a potential playoff opener at the Smoothie King Center, with both teams entering the 2022-23 season with just one loss. Brandon Ingram (concussion) is out for the Pelicans, and Zion Williamson (hip) and Herbert Jones (knee) are listed as questionable. Davis Bertans (knee) and Frank Ntilikina (ankle) are out for the Mavericks.

Tip-off is at 7:30pm ET in New Orleans. Caesars Sportsbook has Dallas as a 4.5-point road favorite, while the over/under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 220.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Pelicans odds. Before making any Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks, you’ll want to check out the NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $10,000 in profit per $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 2 of the 2022-23 NBA season with a stunning 91-63 sweep of all of the NBA’s highest-rated picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,100. Anyone who has followed has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on the Mavs vs. Pelicans and has locked down its NBA predictions. You can head over to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are some NBA betting lines and trends for Pelicans vs. Mavs:

  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans spread: Mavericks -4.5
  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans Over/Under: 220.5 points
  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans money line: Mavericks -195, Pelicans +162
  • DAL: Mavericks are 29-23 against the spread in their last 52 road games
  • NO: Pelicans are 23-22-1 against the spread in their last 46 home games
  • Mavericks vs. Pelicans picks: See the picks at SportsLine

Featured game | New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks

Why the Mavericks can cover

Dallas is looking to build on an impressive 2021-22 season. The Mavericks made a trip to the Western Conference Finals last season, combining a dynamic offense with a top-notch defense. Dallas was No. 3 in the NBA in turnovers (12.5 per game) a year ago, and the Mavericks made 54.8 percent of their 3-point attempts. The Mavericks also finished with a league-high 104.7 points allowed per game and 1.09 points allowed per possession.

Opponents struggled mightily from 3-point range against Dallas, making just 34.0 percent of their attempts, and the Mavericks are off to another strong start defensively, allowing just 101.5 points per game. Dallas is holding opponents to 30.9% from 3-point range and 45.1% from the field so far in 2022-23, and Dallas is scoring 121.0 points per game on offense behind 48.5% shooting and 35.0 penalty kicks attempted per game.

Why pelicans can cover

New Orleans is off to a flying start, especially on offense. The Pelicans are averaging 125.0 points per game and New Orleans leads the NBA with 16.7 offensive rebounds per game. That offensive dominance carries over from last season, and New Orleans is also shooting 47.8 percent from the field with 28.0 assists per game. New Orleans is generating 28.0 free throw attempts per game and shooting 79.8 percent at the charity stripe, with three players averaging at least 22 points per game and a fourth, Jonas Valanciunas, averaging 17 points and 13 rebounds per contest.

Defensively, New Orleans forces 15.7 turnovers per contest and the Pelicans are in the top 10 in the league in field goal percentage allowed (44.7%) and 2-point percentage allowed (50.8%). In 2021-22, the Pelicans also ranked near the top of the league in defensive rebounding (74.2), steals per game (8.3) and turnovers created per game (14.2).

How to make Pelicans vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine’s model leans on the total, projecting 229 combined points. He also says that one side of the spread is hit in 60% of the simulations. You can only see the selection on SportsLine.

So who wins Mavs vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread does it affect 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you should jump on, everyone from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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