NFL Odds Week 7: Crazy Wins and Bad Beats

Vince Lombardi (the guy with his name on the NFL trophy given to the team that won the Super Bowl) once said, “Football is a game of inches.”

Bettors either cashed in or lamented that phrase at the end of Sunday’s New York Giants-Jacksonville Jaguars game, a 23-17 win for the G-Men.

Welcome to the world of wacky wins and bad beats in sports betting.

Each week we’ll recap the betting games where some people cashed in and others tore up their tickets in frustration. To paraphrase the famous broadcaster Al Michaels, “these plays are meaningful to some.”

Let’s dive into this week’s madness!

A matter of inches

Bettors on both sides were exhausted in the final minutes of the Giants-Jaguars game.

Bolstered by big runs from running back Saquon Barkley (13, 20 yards) and quarterback Daniel Jones (15), the Giants — +3 at FOX Bet despite entering the game with the better record (5-1 vs. 2-4) — got Graham Gano’s 34-yard field goal with 1:04 left to extend their lead to six points.

The Jaguars took over at their own 25 after a touchback. Consider the ebb and flow that followed:

– On first-and-10 from the Jaguars’ 35, Trevor Lawrence was sacked, but the play was nullified by a defensive holding with 51 seconds left.

– On the ensuing play, Lawrence had a pass intercepted by Fabian Moreau at midfield, but the play was overturned as the Giants were called for illegal hands.

– Given new life at their own 45, the Jaguars continued to throw incompletions, got a false start call, then threw two more incomplete passes, making it fourth down and 15 with 22 seconds left.

– Lawrence then completed a 28-yard pass up the middle to Marvin Jones Jr. to the Giants’ 32 and a first down. Wait, there’s more…

– Dexter Lawrence was called for roughing the passer on the play, giving the Jaguars 15 rushing yards to the Giants’ 17.

– Five seconds left after two incomplete passes. On third down, Trevor Lawrence completed a pass to Christian Kirk. But after all that, Kirk was tackled at the 1-yard line by Xavier McKinney and Julian Love as time expired.

So the Jaguars’ money-line punters were one yard and an extra point away from cashing in. And the Over bettors in the Over/Under (43.5 combined points) would win by a touchdown. We don’t know which hurts more, Jags on the moneyline or Over.

The skeptics in Jacksonville have won, as the Jaguars are 0-5 in a row (SU) as a favorite since 2020.

One bettor books the Panthers to win

The Tampa Buccaneers were a 13.5-point FOX Bet favorite over the Carolina Panthers, who started a third quarterback (PJ Walker) and were led by an interim coach after Matt Rhule was fired October 10.

The bettors were all over Tampa Bay, BetMGM data analyst John Ewing tweeted.

That didn’t deter one bettor, who threw $5,000 on the Panthers money line (+500 in some books).

Final: Panthers 21, Buccaneers 3.

The bettor collected a whopping $25,000!

No more carries for Kamara

Alvin Kamara didn’t get a carry over the final 22 1/2 minutes of a parlay punter’s bones to cash in on his five-way game party during Thursday night’s New Orleans-Arizona game.

Kamara caught a 3-yard carry with 7:57 left in the third quarter.

The Cardinals scored a touchdown on the ensuing possession to extend their lead to 35-17, so the Saints started throwing the ball on almost every play.

Kamara finished with 49 rushing yards on 11 carries in a 42-34 loss. The punter punted the remaining four legs of the game but fell short to Kamara, who rushed for 50+ yards.

A $5 parlay on the game would pay $74.12.

NFL Betting Notes

– The Indianapolis Colts have not covered the first half in nine straight games, including 0-7 this season.

– Since the Green Bay Packers beat the Buccaneers 14-12 on Sept. 25, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are a combined 0-8 ATS.

– Jaguars QB Lawrence is 0-4 as a favorite against the spread for the first half in his career.

– The Atlanta Falcons (+6.5) lost to the Cincinnati Bengals 35-17, ending their streak against the spread (ATS) in the first six games this season.

– Speaking of the Bengals, the second half Under bettors love them, as Cincinnati has allowed a total of 22 points over the last 15 third quarters.

– For bettors who like the Under: Since scoring six touchdowns in a 48-45 loss to Seattle on Oct. 2, the Detroit Lions have not scored a touchdown in the eight quarters since.

College punters worry about graduating

In college football Saturday, the No. 21 Cincinnati Bearcats held off SMU 29-27 as the Mustangs tried to rally by scoring 13 unanswered points late in the fourth quarter.

SMU cut the deficit to two points with a 1-yard touchdown run with 1:57 left, but failed on the ensuing two-point conversion attempt.

The final affected bettors in many ways:

– The Bearcats (-3.5) were unable to cover because of that TD and a fumbled pass played a role.

SMU’s RJ Maryland caught a tipped pass on fourth down and 14 for a 16-yard TD pass with 5:09 left to bring the Mustangs within one score, 29-21, as SMU punters cashed in thanks to two late naked.

– SMU moneyline (+140) bettors were counting on the two-point conversion to have a chance to cash in.

– Had the Mustangs converted the two-point conversion Over bettors (59.5) would have cashed in as the game would have been tied at 29 (58 combined points), meaning even the lowest possible deciding score (safety, two points ) would We’re game over.

The Sun Devils are inches from the money

A few inches prevented Arizona State from attempting a game-winning field goal against Stanford.

Coming so close, the Sun Devils defied the odds given the circumstances.

Trailing 15-14, the Sun Devils faced fourth-and-19 from the Cardinal’s 43.

Elijhah Badger made an apparent one-handed catch at the 1-yard line with three seconds left.

On further review, the pass was correctly called incomplete and Stanford’s clock expired.

Here’s a closer look at Badger’s leg and sideline. Bettors on the Sun Devils who took the three points cashed, but moneyline bettors on Arizona State (+120) missed.

It’s not easy for Weber State

When was the last time you saw more than one snap hit by a safety outside of, maybe, junior varsity football?

Weber State (-3) gave up a game-high four safeties when punts went out of the end zone, giving Montana State eight points. This is an NCAA record for FBS and FCS.

Final: Bobcats 43, Wildcats 38. Montana State was +118 on the money line.

Stay tuned for more shenanigans!

And if you want to join in the fun (or madness), head over to FOX Bet for all your bets.

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