Patriots vs. Bears odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, NFL model prediction on roll 146-107

Bill Belichick will try to claim the No. 2 spot in all-time wins when the New England Patriots host the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. The Patriots coach is tied with George Halas with 324 wins as a head coach, including the postseason, both trailing Don Shula’s 347. The Patriots (3-3) have won back-to-back games while Chicago (2-4) has lost three in a row. The Bears will have 10 days off after a 12-7 upset loss to Washington on Thursday Night Football on Oct. 12. New England routed Cleveland 38-15 eight days ago behind 309 yards and two touchdown passes from Zappe.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 PM ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Caesars Sportsbook lists New England as an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Bears odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before locking in any Bears vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL play 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 per $100 punter in the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception. The pattern entered Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season with a whopping 146-107 record in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 four of the past six years for straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

The model has now turned to Patriots vs. Bears and has just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are the NFL odds and lines for Bears vs. Patriots:

  • Patriots vs. Bears spread: New England -8.5
  • Patriots vs. Bears Over/Under: 40 points
  • Patriots vs. Bears money line: Chicago +300, New England -385
  • Bears: The Bears are 5-7-1 ATS after a loss to start last season
  • Patriots: Patriots are 3-1 ATS in their last four on the road
  • Patriots vs. Picks Bears: See the picks at SportsLine

Featured game | New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Patriots can cover

The favorite is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings and the Patriots have dominated as heavy home favorites. They’ve been favored by seven points or more six times since quarterback Tom Brady left and are 5-1 ATS, winning by an average of 26 points. The Bears have won three road games since the start of last season and are 4-8 ATS in that span. New England’s defense may be the best Chicago has faced, and the Bears are averaging 15.5 points per game (31st in the NFL). New England allows fewer than 19 (seventh).

The Patriots will be able to focus on the play and make Fields beat them as Chicago runs the ball almost 59% of the time, most in the NFL. Fields can make plays with his legs, but is only completing 54% of his passes. He was intercepted five times compared to four touchdown passes and was sacked 23 times. The Patriots should be able to do a lot of damage themselves on the field Monday night. They rank 10th in the league in rushing with an average of 131 yards per game, while the Bears give up 163 yards per contest (29th). See which team to pick here.

Why bears can cover

Chicago focuses on running the ball, averaging nearly 171 yards per game on the ground, second best in the NFL. David Montgomery (246) gets more carries when healthy, but Khalil Herbert (402 yards) has shown big-play ability. He’s averaging 6.4 yards per carry and had a career-best 64-yard run last week. Quarterback Justin Fields is second on the team in rushing with 282 yards, while the Bears have run the ball on nearly 59 percent of downs, the most in the NFL.

New England’s run defense is its biggest weakness. The Patriots rank 17th against the run, allowing 119 yards per game. Defensively, the Bears can focus on the run game as the Pats are averaging 223 yards through the air (19th). New England turned the ball over 11 times, third most in the league. Safety Eddie Jackson (three interceptions) is among the backs who can make big plays. See which team to pick here.

How to make patriots vs. bears

The SportsLine model leans over the point total. It actually requires 46 combined points. It is also said that one of the spreads occurs more than 50% of the time. You can pick up select model MNFs only at SportsLine.

So who wins Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hit over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs.

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