Patriots vs. Bears odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, NFL model prediction on toss 146-107

The New England Patriots will look to add to the Chicago Bears’ misery when they host Chicago on Monday Night Football to wrap up the NFL’s Week 7 schedule. The Patriots (3-3) have won two straight, while the Bears (2-4) have lost three straight. New England has uncertainty at quarterback, with Bailey ZappĂ© having a big day last week, but Mack Jones expected to be ready to return after missing three weeks with an ankle injury. The Bears selected quarterback Justin Fields with the 11th overall pick in last year’s draft, but have relied on the running game all season. The teams haven’t met since 2018, a 38-31 Patriots win in Chicago. Patriots coach Bill Belichick can break a tie with George Halas for the second-most wins by a head coach in NFL history, including the playoffs, if he gets his 325th on Monday. Don Shula holds the record with 347.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 PM ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Caesars Sportsbook has New England as a 7.5-point favorite in its latest Patriots vs. Bears odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before locking in any Bears vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out NFL Predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL play 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 per $100 punter in the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception. The pattern entered Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season with a whopping 146-107 record in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 four of the past six years for straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

The model has now turned to Patriots vs. Bears and has just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are the NFL odds and lines for Bears vs. Patriots:

  • Patriots vs. Bears spread: New England -7.5
  • Patriots vs. Bears Over/Under: 40 points
  • Patriots vs. Bears money line: Chicago +300, New England -385
  • Bears: The Bears are 5-7-1 ATS after a loss to start last season
  • Patriots: Patriots are 3-1 ATS in their last four on the road
  • Patriots vs. Picks Bears: See the picks at SportsLine

Featured game | New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Patriots can cover

The favorite is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings and the Patriots have dominated as heavy home favorites. They’ve been favored by seven points or more six times since quarterback Tom Brady left and are 5-1 ATS, winning by an average of 26 points. The Bears have won three road games since the start of last season and are 4-8 ATS in that span. New England’s defense may be the best Chicago has faced, and the Bears are averaging 15.5 points per game (31st in the NFL). New England allows fewer than 19 (seventh).

The Patriots will be able to focus on the play and make Fields beat them as Chicago runs the ball almost 59% of the time, most in the NFL. Fields can make plays with his legs, but is only completing 54% of his passes. He was intercepted five times compared to four touchdown passes and was sacked 23 times. The Patriots should be able to do a lot of damage themselves on the field Monday night. They rank 10th in the league in rushing with an average of 131 yards per game, while the Bears give up 163 yards per contest (29th). See which team to pick here.

Why bears can cover

Chicago has an effective ground game and a defense that can make big plays. The Bears average nearly 171 rushing yards per game, second in the league, and average 5.2 yards per carry (sixth). Khalil Herbert (402 yards, 6.4 per carry), David Montgomery (246 yards) and Fields (282) could find holes against New England’s 17th-ranked defense. The Patriots are allowing 119 rushing yards per game (19th in the NFL) and 4.7 per carry (22nd). The Bears should also be able to handle the run, as the Patriots are averaging 223 passing yards per game (18th).

Chicago’s defense ranks third in the NFL against the pass (179 yards per game) and has eight touchdowns. Safety Eddie Jackson has three interceptions and forced two fumbles and could find opportunities Monday. The Patriots turned the ball over 11 times, ranking third in the league. The Bears also have some big threats on offense if Fields has time to find them. Receiver Dante Pettis has averaged 24 yards and scored twice on just five receptions, and Darnell Mooney has four catches of 20 or more yards, including a 56-yarder. See which team to pick here.

How to make patriots vs. bears

The SportsLine model leans over the point total. It actually requires 46 combined points. It is also said that one of the spreads occurs more than 50% of the time. You can pick up select model MNFs only at SportsLine.

So who wins Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hit over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs.

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