Raiders vs. Chiefs odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, NFL model predictions at 140-105 streak

The Las Vegas Raiders will look to put together a winning streak when they take on Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in a key AFC West matchup on Monday Night Football. The Raiders (1-3) are coming off a 32-23 victory over the Denver Broncos last Sunday and will snap a three-game losing streak in the series against Kansas City. The Chiefs (3-1), coming off a 41-31 win at Tampa Bay in Week 4, have dominated the Raiders of late. Since 2003, Kansas City is 27-11 against the Raiders.

The game from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri is scheduled to begin at 8:15 PM ET. The Chiefs have the 11th best rushing attack in the league, averaging 117 rushing yards per game, while the Raiders are 14th with 113. Kansas City is a 7-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Raiders picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL play 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 per $100 punter in the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception. The pattern entered Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 140-105 record in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 four of the past six years for straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

The model has now zeroed in on the Raiders vs. Chiefs and has just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are the NFL betting odds and lines for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

  • Raiders vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -7
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs over/under: 51.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs money line: Raiders +278, Chiefs -355
  • LV: Over hits in Raiders last two games
  • KC: Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Monday games
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here

Featured game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City has a solid receiving corps led by tight end Travis Kelce. Kelce leads the team with 26 receptions for 322 yards (12.4 avg.) and three touchdowns. He led the Chiefs with a season-high nine catches for 92 yards and a touchdown last week and will be looking for his third straight receiving touchdown game. Kelce is the only tight end in the NFL with 50 or more receiving yards in all four games this year. Kelce also has 100 or more receiving yards in three of his last four games against Las Vegas.

Wide receiver Marquez Valdez-Scantling had a season-high 63 receiving yards last week. On the year, he has 13 receptions for 168 yards (12.9 avg.) with three explosive plays of 20 yards or more. He had 133 receiving yards and a touchdown catch in his only career game against the Raiders in 2019 while playing for the Green Bay Packers. In five seasons, including four in Green Bay, Valdez-Scantling has 136 receptions for 2,321 yards (17.1 avg.) and 13 TDs.

Why the Raiders can cover

Wide receiver Hunter Renfrow appears ready to return after missing two games with a concussion. Renfrow is among the top pass catchers on the team and has 10 receptions for 80 yards this season, including an explosive 20-yarder. Renfrow had a career-high 13 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown in the last meeting with Kansas City. He will be looking for his third straight game against the Chiefs with a receiving TD. Renfrow has a touchdown catch in four of his last five games against a division opponent.

Tight end Darren Waller has caught touchdowns in two of his last three games against Kansas City and will be looking for his fourth straight receiving TD game on Monday Night Football. Waller has 16 receptions on the season for 175 yards (10.9 avg.) and one touchdown. He has two explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including one of 31 yards. Waller also has nine first downs.

How to Make Raiders Vs. Chiefs

The SportsLine model leans over the point total. It actually requires 56 combined points. It also generates picks against the spread that win over 50% of simulations. You can pick up select model MNFs only at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread wins in over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Raiders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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