Raiders vs. Chiefs odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, NFL model predictions on roll 140-105

The Las Vegas Raiders will look to make it two straight when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a key AFC West matchup on Monday Night Football. After losing three straight by five points or less to open the season, the Raiders picked up their first win last week in a 32-23 triumph over the Denver Broncos. The game went down to the final minutes before Las Vegas was able to seal it with a Josh Jacobs touchdown with 2:07 left. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs (3-1) built a commanding three-touchdown lead at Tampa Bay before holding off a late Buccaneers rally for a 41-31 victory.

The game from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri is scheduled to begin at 8:15 PM ET. The Chiefs have the seventh-best passing offense in the NFL with 267.8 passing yards per game, while the Raiders are 14th with 243.3. Kansas City is a 7-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51.5. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Raiders picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates each NFL play 10,000 times, has grown nearly $7,000 per $100 punter in the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception. The pattern enters Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 140-105 record in the NFL’s highest-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 four of the past six years for straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed him is way up.

The model has now zeroed in on the Raiders vs. Chiefs and has just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are the NFL betting odds and lines for Raiders vs. Chiefs:

  • Raiders vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -7
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs over/under: 51.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs money line: Raiders +278, Chiefs -355
  • LV: Over hits in Raiders last two games
  • KC: Chiefs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine Monday games
  • Raiders vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here

Featured game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City is led by a prolific passer in Mahomes. Mahomes has thrown at least one touchdown pass in every game this season, including five in a season-opening 44-21 win at Arizona on Sept. 11 and three last week at Tampa Bay in a 41-31 win. For the season, he has completed 97 of 146 passes (66.4%) for 1,106 yards and 11 touchdowns. He’s been suspended twice and sacked five times, but has a 108.4 rating.

His primary target was tight end Travis Kelce, who led the team with 26 receptions for 322 yards (12.4 avg.) and three touchdowns. He had five explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a season-high 35 yards. He also has 21 first downs. In last week’s win, he caught nine passes for 92 yards and a score while racking up eight first-down conversions.

Why the Raiders can cover

Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has had some success against Kansas City in the past and hopes to continue that trend. He will be looking for his fifth straight game against the Chiefs with 250 or more passes and has two or more TD passes and a 95 or better rating in three of his last four games against them. Carr also had many successes in the limelight. He has won four of his last five starts on Monday Night Football and is looking for his fourth straight MNF game with two or more touchdown passes.

Jacobs had a career-high 175 yards from scrimmage with 144 rushing and 31 receiving yards with two rushing TDs last week against Denver. It was his ninth career game with two or more rushing touchdowns, the second-most in the NFL since 2019. Jacobs will be looking for his third straight game with 95 or more yards from scrimmage. He has 516 yards from scrimmage (129 per game) and three rushing TDs in his last four games against AFC West opponents. Jacobs has four rushing touchdowns in four career games on Monday Night Football.

How to Make Raiders Vs. Chiefs

The SportsLine model leans over the point total. It actually requires a total of 56 points. It also generates picks against the spread that win over 50% of simulations. You can pick up select model MNFs only at SportsLine.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Raiders on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread wins in over 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Raiders spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

Leave a Comment