Red Sox vs Rays Odds Line: 2022 MLB Picks July 4th Predictions From Proven Baseball Model

July 4 marks the start of an intriguing series between the AL East rivals. The Boston Red Sox welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Fenway Park to begin a three-game set. Tampa Bay won two of three games in the first series of the year between the teams. Boston enters 44-35 and Tampa Bay brings a 43-36 record into Monday’s game.

First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will score, is 9.5 in the latest odds at Rays vs. Red Sox. Before making any Red Sox vs. Rays picks, you should see the MLB predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. and is 271-232 in MLB’s top-rated moneylines since the start of the 2021 season, returning well over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of the top three bets to win all of last season. Everyone who has followed him has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has zeroed in on the Red Sox vs. Rays and has just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are some MLB odds and betting lines for the Rays vs. Red Sox:

  • Red Sox vs. Rays money line: Red Sox -125, Rays +105
  • Red Sox vs. Rays over-under: 9.5 runs
  • Red Sox vs. Rays run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
  • TB: The Rays are 18-19 in road games
  • BOS: The Red Sox are 20-16 in home games
  • Red Sox vs. Rays picks: See SportsLine picks

Featured game | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Why you should support the rays

Tampa Bay’s team speed is impressive and puts pressure on the opposition. The Rays are No. 2 in the American League with 55 stolen bases, and Tampa Bay also has 11 triples already this season. The Rays are also doing well in the pitching department for Monday’s game, starting with Jalen Beeks starting the game. The 28-year-old lefty may not stay in the game long as a starter, but he has a 2.91 ERA to start the 2020 campaign and a 2.70 ERA in 2022. That includes 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.08 WHIP this season.

Beeks is a star with a 1.76 ERA on the road and can pitch the ball to an effective bullpen. Tampa Bay’s relief corps has a 3.36 ERA this season, and the Rays are No. 3 in the American League in walking just 3.06 per nine innings with a reliever on the mound. Boston’s offense is below the AL average in home runs, triples and stolen bases this season, and the Rays will have opportunities to succeed.

Why you should support the Red Sox

Boston’s offense is tough to stop. The Red Sox boast league-leading batting average, hits and doubles, setting an impressive pace along the way. Boston also sits comfortably in the top five in the American League in on-base percentage, hitting percentage, total bases and runs scored, and the Red Sox have a potential MVP candidate in Rafael Devers. Devers entered the holiday weekend leading the American League in hits and doubles, and Boston’s lineup is also loaded with quality depth.

On the mound, Boston’s bullpen is above the American League average in ERA and slugging percentage, with starting pitcher Michael Wacha enjoying a fruitful 2022 campaign. Wacha has a 2.69 ERA this season with a 1.11 WHIP and just 0.9 home runs allowed per nine innings . Opponents have a paltry .621 OPS against Wacha, and he sports a 1.39 ERA in home starts at Fenway Park.

How to make Rays vs. Red Sox picks

SportsLine’s model predicts a total of 10.2 runs. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can get MLB’s model picks only at SportsLine.

So who wins Red Sox vs. Rays? And which country has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you should jump on, everyone from the model who crushed his MLB picks, and find out.

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